Kirkland and Redmond are two of the easiest places in the Puget Sound region to justify a heat pump, and two of the hardest places to get a straight number out of a contractor. The housing stock swings from 1960s ramblers near Houghton to 4,000-square-foot builds on Education Hill, and the quotes swing with it. A neighbor three streets over paying $13,000 tells you almost nothing about what your house will cost.

Here's the actual math, the way we lay it out on an Eastside estimate.

What Eastside homes pay in 2026

SystemStandard rangeLarger home / premium equipment
SystemDucted heat pumpStandard range$12,000 – $18,000Larger home / premium equipment$13,800 – $24,300
SystemDuctless mini-splitStandard range$8,000 – $14,000Larger home / premium equipment$9,200 – $18,900
SystemHeat pump replacementStandard range$10,000 – $16,000Larger home / premium equipment$11,500 – $21,600
SystemDuctwork replacementStandard range$3,000 – $8,000Larger home / premium equipment$4,000 – $10,000
SystemHeat pump repairStandard range$150 – $1,500Larger home / premium equipment$175 – $2,000

Those are installed prices — equipment, labor, materials, permit, startup. Not "starting at" numbers that grow by four grand once someone looks in your crawlspace.

Most Kirkland and Redmond single-family homes land somewhere in the middle of the ducted range. The homes that push toward the top are the ones with real square footage, multiple zones, high ceilings in the great room, or a mechanical closet that was designed around an 80,000 BTU furnace and nothing else.

Why the Eastside number runs a little higher

There is no Kirkland surcharge. The equipment costs what it costs. What changes is the house.

  • Size. A 3,200 sq ft home needs more tonnage, bigger ducts, and more supply runs than a 1,400 sq ft rambler. The load calculation decides, not the sales rep.
  • Zoning. Two-story homes with a bonus room over the garage frequently need a zoning solution or a supplemental ductless head. That's real hardware and real labor.
  • Glass. Big west-facing windows with a lake or valley view are a beautiful cooling load. Manual J counts every square foot of it.
  • Access. Tight side yards, steep lots, and finished basements add hours. Hours are the honest part of any HVAC bid.
  • Equipment tier. Good, Better, Best is usually a bigger price lever than the brand badge. Variable-speed inverter systems cost more upfront and run quieter and more efficiently — worth it in some homes, overkill in others.

The four home types we see most

1970s–80s ducted ramblers and split-levels. The cleanest installs in either city. Existing ductwork, existing gas furnace, existing electrical. A furnace-to-heat-pump changeout or a full electric conversion typically lands mid-range and gets finished in one day.

Newer 1990s–2010s builds. Usually well-ducted with a gas furnace and an aging AC condenser. When that condenser dies, replacing it with a heat pump instead of another AC unit is almost always the smarter buy — you get cooling and a far more efficient primary heat source for a modest step up in price.

Older no-duct homes and condos. Kirkland's older neighborhoods have plenty of houses with wall heaters, baseboard, or a dead gravity furnace. Retrofitting ducts into a finished home is invasive and expensive, which is why a ductless system usually wins here at $8,000 to $14,000.

Large Education Hill / Bridle Trails homes. Multi-zone, sometimes two systems, sometimes a hybrid with the existing furnace kept as backup. These are the jobs that land at the top of the range, and they're the ones where a sloppy load calculation costs you the most.

Rebates: yes, this is regional utility country

Kirkland and Redmond are served by one regional utility for both electricity and natural gas. That matters, because rebate eligibility follows the meter, not the city limits — some of our service area is on Tacoma Power, Seattle City Light, or a member-owned co-op, and those homeowners play by different rules entirely.

For those customers, the headline is local utility rebate money toward a qualifying heat pump when it replaces an existing electric or fossil-fuel system. The amount depends on what you're replacing and what you install — an electric-resistance conversion and an income-qualified gas conversion are not the same check. Programs change, so we confirm your current eligibility and handle the paperwork rather than guessing on a bid sheet. Our full breakdown lives in the local utility rebate guide.

Two things to be blunt about:

  • The federal 25C tax credit ended December 31, 2025. No 2026 installation qualifies. If a bid still has $2,000 of federal credit penciled in, that bid is out of date.
  • Utility rebate programs pay only through their own contractor networks, and those rules change. If a bidder hasn't confirmed the current requirements, the rebate quietly evaporates after the check clears — ask every bidder directly.
Rule we use on every Eastside estimate: price the heat pump path even if you came in asking for a furnace. A furnace replacement runs $4,000 to $8,000 and heats only. It also can't claim heat pump rebate money.

Does a heat pump actually make sense out here?

Yes — and not in a marketing way. Washington's energy code lists Bellevue, the closest listed city to Kirkland and Redmond, at a 24°F winter design temperature. That is genuinely mild. Modern heat pumps deliver full rated comfort well below that, which is why the Eastside is easy heat pump territory rather than a cold-climate gamble.

Against electric baseboard or wall heat, a heat pump typically cuts heating costs 30 to 50 percent. Against a gas furnace, the running-cost comparison depends on current gas and electric rates — sometimes it's close, and we'll tell you when it's close instead of pretending otherwise. Where the heat pump wins outright every time is summer. Eastside summers have gotten hot enough that "we don't really need AC here" has quietly stopped being true, and a heat pump is air conditioning you were already buying.

If your gas furnace is only a few years old, a hybrid setup that keeps it as backup is often the honest recommendation. Nobody should throw away a healthy furnace to prove a point.

Want a real number before anyone visits?

Our instant estimate tool asks seven questions about your home and returns Good, Better, and Best starting prices in about 60 seconds. It's a genuine range, not a lead-capture stall. The final number gets confirmed at a free in-home visit — which is a sales appointment, and we'll say so, because pretending otherwise is how people end up surprised.

Permits, placement, and the neighbor factor

Both cities require a mechanical permit for a heat pump installation, including a like-for-like replacement. We pull it, we schedule the inspection, and we hand you the sign-off. That paperwork matters later — Washington's seller disclosure form asks directly about unpermitted work.

Placement is the other Eastside-specific item. Lots here are often narrow, side yards are often the only viable spot, and HOAs in newer Redmond developments sometimes have opinions about equipment visibility. Modern outdoor units run roughly 55 to 60 decibels on high and 45 to 52 in quiet mode — about a dishwasher — but we still keep them off shared property lines and away from bedroom windows where the layout allows. Good placement is free at install time and expensive to fix later.

What you get from us

  • A real Manual J load calculation, at no extra cost, on every estimate
  • Written Good / Better / Best pricing — no mystery numbers, no manufactured urgency
  • Day & Night, Carrier, and American Standard for ducted systems; Mitsubishi, Daikin, and Hitachi for ductless
  • 10-year parts and labor warranty on every installation
  • Most installs finished in one day
  • Utility rebate paperwork filed for you

We're owner-operated out of Federal Way — six people, license VARSIHC766RJ, and the same two owners on the phone before and after the check clears. We're not the cheapest bid on the Eastside. We're the one that sizes the system correctly the first time.

Next step

If you want the number for your specific house, request a free estimate or call (253) 785-4622, Monday through Friday, 8 to 6. Bring your last twelve months of utility bills if you have them — it makes the operating-cost conversation a lot more honest. For the region-wide picture, the Washington heat pump cost guide breaks down every price driver in detail.